Prognosen zu den Themen Künstliche Intelligenz und Technologie

What are the things that we expect from the future? When will a robot be able to clean my household? Here we collected predictions from different pages and sources, that we found across the internet.

2018

  • 2018 Some industries begin to experiment with bots that handle support requests (2017)
  • 2018 90% of the population is able to store all the data in the internet gratis  (2017)
  • 2018 first meals on menus in USA and asia using clean meat (artificial meat)  (2017, Josh Tetrick, CEO Just, Link)

2019

  • 2019 Estland foremost launches crypto currency as first country (2017)
  • 2019 Virtual Reality / Augmented Reality pornography hits the mainstream market (2017)

2020

  • 2020 first public transport companies start to roll out RFID chisp and replace old ticketing systems (2017)
  • 2020 first sex robots in brothels (2017)
  • 2020 China launches the Social Credit System (2017, Wired, Link)
  • 2020 Crypto currency is a legit payment method (2017, Gartner, Link)
  • 2020 artificial intelligence will produce more jobs that it took away (2017, Gartner, Link)
  • 2020 IoT technology is included in 95% of all technical products (2017, Gartner, Link)
  • 2020 the first electronic airplane takes off, it is called E-Fan X (2017, Handelsblatt, Link)
  • 2020 Volocopter (vehicle for short distance travelling) will hit the market (2017, Techcrunch, Link)
  • 2020 Uber starts the air taxi fleet in various cities (2018, Fortune, Link)

2021

  • 2021 first pharmacy lead by a robot
  • 2021 majority of all search request comes using voice search (2017, Gartner, Link)
  • 2021 German police / firefighters testing virtual reality / augmented reality glasses (2017, Motorola, Wired, Link)
  • 2021 50% of app developers will switch to bot development (2017, Gartner, Link)
  • 2021 40% of all IT jobs are very diverse. Trend moves from specialists to generalists (2017, Gartner, Link)
  • 2021 Invitro meat (cultured meat) will be on the same level as conventional meat when it comes to the price (2018, Mercedes Vila, Co-Founder of Biotech Meat, Link)

2022

  • 2022 The first car that was completely printed using a 3D printer (2017)
  • 2022 First hospital that performs routine operations using the DaVinci operation robot (2017)
  • 2022 One trillion sensors are connected to the internet (washer, cooker, lights, doors, windows, heater)  (2017)
  • 2022 10% of the poplation wears internet connected clothes  (2017)
  • 2022 The majority of the people are consuming more fake than true news (2017, Gartner, Link)
  • 2022 Half of the IT budgets goes into finding vulnerabilities in IoT components (2017, Gartner, Link)
  • 2022 10% probability of having Human Level Machine Intelligence (2014, Research of Bostrom & Müller, Link)

2023

  • 2023 10% of reading glasses are connected to the internet (2017)
  • 2023 90% of the humans have super computers in their pockets (2017)
  • 2023 80% of population has a digital online profile (2017)
  • 2023 Census is conducted using big data technology (2017)
  • 2023 Schweden is a society without cash (2017, Word Economic Forum, Link)

2024

  • 2024 50% of internet requests are made by smart home components (2017)
  • 2024 Access to the internet becomes a basic right (2017)
  • 2024 First transplantation of a 3D printed liver (2017)

2025

  • 2025 Large insurance companies have automated their sales, proposal creation and execution (2017)
  • 2025 Relief of 80% of all assembly line workers (2017)
  • 2025 30% of all management tasks are performed by an artificial intelligence (2017)
  • 2025 the first mobile phone implant is available in stores (2017)

2029

  • 2029 technical singularity is reached acc. to Ray Kurzweil (2017, Ray Kurzweil, Link)

2028

  • Bitcoin will be the one-and-only currency (Jack Dorsey, 2018, Link)

2030

  • 2030 10% of all cars driving autonomously (2017)
  • 2030 25% of the traffic in the VAE is handled autonomously (2017, Link)
  • 2030 90% of all journalistic articles are written by machines (2017, Link)

2040

  • 2040 50% probability of having Human Level Machine Intelligence (2014, Research of Bostrom & Müller, Link)

2060

  • 2060 a midsize city (50k-500k residents) manages traffic without traffic lights (2017)

2075

  • 90% probability of having Human Level Machine Intelligence (2014, Research of Bostrom & Müller, Link)

2066

  • 2066 we have a 50% probability of Human Level Machine Intelligence (2017, Studie)

2116

  • 2116 we have a 75% probability of Human Level Machine Intelligence (2017, Studie)